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Early wildfire detection to action: lessons from Victoria’s inquiry

For managers responsible for bushfire preparedness across dispersed sites, receiving an early alert is only the beginning. Victoria’s 2026 bushfire inquiry shows why early wildfire detection does not work in isolation. To support action, it needs to be backed by verification, local context, reliable communication and clear responsibility for what happens next.

An alert identifies possible wildfire smoke near one of your sites.

What does the person receiving it need to do next?

They may need to confirm the likely location of the fire, understand whether people or operations could be affected, and pass reliable information to someone authorised to act. If those steps depend on an unavailable colleague or information nobody can find, an early alert can still leave important questions unanswered.

That is a useful way to read the inquiry. For managers reviewing preparedness, the issue is not only how quickly information arrives, but whether it can support a timely, informed decision.


What did the inquiry say about early wildfire detection?

The inquiry recognised that emerging technologies can strengthen early detection and suppression while complementing existing methods. Its broader findings also show that early detection operates within a wider response system that depends on reliable communications, local knowledge and the people and resources available to respond.

The Legislative Council Environment and Planning Committee’s final report was tabled on 28 July 2026. The inquiry covered preparation, response and recovery. This article focuses on the findings most relevant to making early information usable.

In Finding 31, the committee concluded that emerging technologies can enhance early detection and suppression but cannot substitute for existing methods. Recommendation 29 asked the Victorian Government to consider how technologies including AI-enabled cameras and remotely piloted aircraft could augment preparedness.

The report also considers factors such as coverage, reliability, trained personnel, communications and response resources. It also records evidence that terrain, visibility and atmospheric conditions can affect camera performance. Final report, pp. 94–97

exci interprets these findings as a reminder that the value of early information depends on how well it supports a timely, informed decision. The practical applications below reflect that interpretation.


What information does a manager need before acting on a wildfire alert?

An early alert needs enough context to show what it could mean for the site or operations. That includes what has been observed, the likely location of the potential fire, when the information was captured and what still needs to be confirmed. Local site knowledge will help them understand what could be affected and what they may need to do next.

Consider a simple example. Wildfire smoke is visible beyond a site boundary. The image provides a starting point. The manager still needs to understand where it is in relation to work areas, access routes and nearby assets.

Some of that information may already exist within the organisation. The challenge is making sure the person assessing the fire can find it when they need it.

The inquiry found a similar issue in Finding 16: local knowledge was not always readily available to incoming crews and commanders. Its discussion highlighted information about roads, gates, hazards, water and equipment. Final report, pp. 62–63

For managers responsible for bushfire preparedness, the lesson is straightforward: essential site knowledge needs to be accessible before it is urgently needed.

Could a duty manager unfamiliar with the location interpret an alert without first finding the person who knows the site best?

A current site map, reliable contacts and clearly recorded access information can help answer that question. Their usefulness depends on whether they are accurate, accessible and understood by the people expected to use them.

Graph: Detection to Decision

Does a wildfire alert give people enough information to act?

Not necessarily. Even when information reaches its intended audience, uncertainty can remain about what it means and what should happen next.

The inquiry recognised VicEmergency’s effectiveness as a mass communication platform. Finding 44 stated that widespread use and trust supported public awareness and was likely to have supported low fatality outcomes.

Alongside that positive finding, Finding 45 identified instances where inconsistent warnings, usability problems and unclear or conflicting information contributed to confusion. Recommendation 33 called for improvements including consultation to ensure messages were comprehensible and relevant to decisions. Final report, pp. 135–136

The inquiry was discussing public warnings, but the same principle can be useful inside an organisation. Information also needs to make sense to the person receiving it.

  1. Can the person receiving the alert distinguish a preliminary observation from verified information?
  2. Can they tell when it was last updated?
  3. Do they know who is responsible for the next assessment or escalation?

Internal procedures should also make clear the difference between operational observations and official emergency warnings. Staff need to understand how each informs their responsibilities under the organisation’s emergency plan.

 

Will the wildfire alert reach the right person?

Clear, relevant information is only useful if it reaches the right person. But what happens when communications fail or the person who normally receives the alert is unavailable?

Finding 47 identified operational communication challenges during the Longwood, Natimuk and Harcourt fires, including infrastructure damage, channel congestion and unclear contingency protocols. Findings 48–51 addressed power and telecommunications failures that restricted access to emergency information, as well as differences in community awareness of alternative channels. Final report, pp. 141–145

What happens if the person who normally receives the alert is unavailable?  Who takes over?  How is receipt confirmed?  What backup communication method is used if the usual channel fails?

The handover matters too. The next person needs enough context to understand what has already been confirmed, what still needs checking and what decisions have been made.

 

Where does operational wildfire intelligence fit?

Operational wildfire intelligence builds on early wildfire detection. It brings together verification, geographic context and updated information so people can understand what is happening, monitor how the situation changes and decide what to do next.

At exci, we describe that process as:

Detect → Verify → Understand → Monitor → Decide

exciMap brings AI wildfire detection, investigation, geographic intelligence and incident information together in one operational environment. This gives operators the context they need to investigate a potential fire, understand what may be affected and continue monitoring the situation as it develops.

Image: Incident Management looking at exciMap

The purpose is not to replace human judgement. It is to help reduce uncertainty as the situation is assessed and monitored.

Decisions remain with the responsible people, supported by their procedures, local knowledge and official emergency information.

An earlier alert does not guarantee that response resources will be available or that a fire will be contained. The inquiry’s discussion of technology makes the broader point: detection matters, but so do the people, communications and procedures that make early information useful.

 

How can you test the journey from alert to decision?

Take one realistic wildfire alert and follow what would happen next with the people who would actually receive and assess it.

Ask:

  • What do we know? Identify the observation, its location, time and verification status.
  • What does it mean for this site? Find the relevant information about people, operations, access and assets.
  • Who owns the next step? Confirm responsibility, authority and escalation arrangements.
  • Can we reach them? Test acknowledgement, an unavailable recipient and a disrupted communication channel.
  • How will we stay informed? Confirm how updates and unresolved questions pass between people.


The exercise should show where the process breaks down.

That may be a missing site detail, an unclear responsibility, information that cannot readily be accessed, or a communication method that depends on one person being available.

Resolve those gaps alongside any assessment of an early wildfire detection system. Detection speed matters, but so does what happens after a potential fire has been identified.

Early information becomes operationally useful when someone can understand what it means, recognise their responsibility and take the appropriate next step.

 

References

Parliament of Victoria, Legislative Council Environment and Planning Committee. Inquiry into the 2026 summer fires across Victoria: Final report. July 2026; tabled 28 July 2026.

Read the final report
Parliament of Victoria. Inquiry into the 2026 summer fires across Victoria: Reports and inquiry information.

View the inquiry

Source note: References use the final report’s printed page numbers. This article draws on the committee’s adopted findings and distinguishes them from exci’s practical interpretation. Recommendations are proposals, not evidence of implementation. Reported experiences reflect the evidence available to the inquiry.

by Gabrielle Tylor

exci – Early AI Wildfire & Bushfire Detection

17 September 2026